Towards a sustainable energy system for the Netherlands in 2050. Impacts of real-world obstacles to transition pathways

report
Constructing energy scenarios is a key method for exploring possible transition pathways toward a sustainable, climate-neutral energy system. In 2024, TNO published a study presenting two energy scenarios for the development of the Dutch energy system towards 2050: ADAPT and TRANSFORM. These scenarios were modelled using OPERA, an energy system model that represents the entire Dutch energy system. Based on a limited set of assumptions – kept minimal to avoid excluding potential pathways – the OPERA model calculates the configuration with the lowest societal costs for each scenario. In practice, however, the energy transition faces numerous obstacles that are often difficult to overcome. These constraints limit the feasibility of the modelled scenarios and raise an important question for this follow-up study: What alternative pathways to a sustainable energy system by 2050 are available if significant obstacles arise during the transition?
Topics
TNO Identifier
1020124
Publisher
TNO
Collation
79 p.
Place of publication
Petten