Assessment of impacts of the EC proposal for the review of the CO2 performance standards for HDVs
report
In this report the results are presented of an impact analysis of the recently proposed tightened CO2 performance standards for heavy-duty vehicles, as well as of two policy variants. In the current proposal (scenario A) the proposed targets do not apply to all vehicle categories. As an alternative scenario (scenario B) we have analysed the impacts of a policy variant in which the proposed targets do apply to all categories. Also a third scenario is considered (scenario C), which is based on the global Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) as signed by 27 countries amongst which the Netherlands.
Our analysis shows that the proposed policy does lead to an increase in zero emission (ZE) vehicles as well as zero emission (mostly electric) kilometres driven. However a net zero fleet in 2050 is not within reach. The European Commission proposal results in a share of 69-72% of zero emission vehicles in the fleet by 2050 driving 82-84% of the vehicle kilometres. The more ambitious scenario C comes closer to a net zero fleet in 2050 with a zero emission fleet share of 83-84% and a 97% share of zero emission kilometres
Our analysis shows that the proposed policy does lead to an increase in zero emission (ZE) vehicles as well as zero emission (mostly electric) kilometres driven. However a net zero fleet in 2050 is not within reach. The European Commission proposal results in a share of 69-72% of zero emission vehicles in the fleet by 2050 driving 82-84% of the vehicle kilometres. The more ambitious scenario C comes closer to a net zero fleet in 2050 with a zero emission fleet share of 83-84% and a 97% share of zero emission kilometres
Topics
TNO Identifier
986034
Publisher
TNO
Collation
24 p.
Place of publication
Den Haag