A scenario approach to stimulate digitalisation and inclusive economic growth
bookPart
This chapter describes a scenario approach to develop policy recommendations at the level of an entrepreneurial ecosystem with the relevant stakeholders. It contains four steps: 1] analysis, 2] scenario selection, 3] selection of actions, 4] action plan. The purpose of BEYOND4.0 is to enable digital transformation and facilitate inclusive growth. Society can, however, create opposing contexts to strive after this purpose. It makes a huge difference if digitalisation becomes less predictable and if the world becomes more conflicting, compared to a situation in which digitalisation is rather well predictable and the world is more harmonious. The first situation is named the ‘contested terrain’ scenario, and the second one is the ‘common ground’ scenario: these are examples that can be used for a scenario study. Applying the technique of backcasting, participants in the workshop are invited to develop policy recommendations for each scenario, with the desired purpose, such as inclusive growth, as ‘the end in mind’. The scenario approach can be used by anyone who has a responsibility for policy making at the level of ecosystems.
TNO Identifier
986350
ISBN
978-619-245-316-9
Publisher
Prof. Marin Drinov Publishing House of Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
Source title
The practical side of digital transformation: a tool book for practitioners
Editor(s)
Oeij, P.
Kirov, V.
Pomares, E.
Kirov, V.
Pomares, E.
Place of publication
Sofia
Pages
129-147