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Kell, N.P. (author), van der Weijde, A.H. (author), Li, L. (author), Santibanez-Borda, E. (author), Pillai, A.C. (author)This paper presents a novel agent-based, stochastic model, which uses game-theoretic principles to simulate Contract for Difference (CfD) auctions. The framework has use cases and implications for policymakers and renewable generators alike, and can be used by developers to prepare bidding strategy and for policymakers to empirically test...article 2023
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Verstraten, P. (author), van der Weijde, A.H. (author)Purpose of Review: This paper argues that, for the purpose of determining business cases for renewable energy assets, simple simulation methods can be very valuable. We demonstrate this through the application of a stochastic agent-based energy market model which, instead of a modelling the explicit drivers behind future investments, treats...article 2023
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Weyland, L.F. (author), Barros, A.I. (author), van der Zwet, K.V. (author)Recently, efforts have been made in computational criminology to study the dynamics of criminal organisations and improve law enforcement measures. To understand the evolution of a criminal network, current literature uses social network analysis and agent-based modelling as research tools. However, these studies only explain the short-term...conference paper 2023
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van der Zwet, K. (author), Barros, A.I. (author), van Engers, T.M. (author), Sloot, P.M.A. (author)Insurgency conflicts pose significant challenges to societies globally. The increase of insurgency conflicts creates a need to understand how insurgencies arise, and to identify societal drivers of insurgencies or effective strategies to counter them. In this paper, we analyze the contributions of computational modeling methods for the analysis...article 2022
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Konings, L. (author), Kuipers, T. (author), Thepass, S. (author)Future conflicts will increasingly take place in complex, urban environments. This calls for a change from operating in large formations and from static encampments to dispersed, networked, decentralized and small-scale operations. Concept development for dispersed operations and their accompanying strategies has only just begun. To aid in this...conference paper 2022
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Fratric, P. (author), Sileno, G. (author), Klous, S. (author), van Engers, T. (author)Fraudulent actions of a trader or a group of traders can cause substantial disturbance to the market, both directly influencing the price of an asset or indirectly by misinforming other market participants. Such behavior can be a source of systemic risk and increasing distrust for the market participants, consequences that call for viable...article 2022
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Fratric, P. (author), Sileno, G. (author), Van Engers, T. (author), Klous, S. (author)With the uptake of digital services in public and private sectors, the formalization of laws is attracting increasing attention. Yet, non-compliant fraudulent behaviours (money laundering, tax evasion, etc.) - practical realizations of violations of law - remain very difficult to formalize, as one does not know the exact formal rules that define...conference paper 2022
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van der Zwet, K. (author), Barros, A.I. (author), van Engers, T.M. (author), van der Vecht, B. (author)Organized crime, insurgency and terrorist organizations have a large and undermining impact on societies. This highlights the urgency to better understand the complex dynamics of these individuals and organizations in order to timely detect critical social phase transitions that form a risk for society. In this paper we introduce a new multi...conference paper 2019
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Davydenko, I.Y. (author), Fransen, R.W. (author)Deep sea international ports are competitive businesses serving the transshipment needs of shipping lines linking seaborne freight with hinterland connections. The level of service is one of the important decision factors for the shipping lines' decision on whether to call at a port. Therefore, port performance is a vital competitive component...conference paper 2019
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van Maanen, P.P. (author), van der Vecht, B. (author)The aim of this study is to better understand social influence in online social media. Therefore, we propose a method in which we implement, validate and improve individual behavior models. The behavior model is based on three fundamental behavioral principles of social influence from the literature (i.e., Cialdini’s principles): (1) consistency...article 2014
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Anand, N. (author), van Duin, R. (author), Tavasszy, L. (author)Congestion, pollution, and safety are some of the most worrisome side-effects of the urban goods movement activities. These problems are generally attributed to the underlying characteristics of the domain such as heterogeneous stakeholders, their conflicting objectives and resulting distributed decision-making. Such autonomous decision-making...article 2014
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Harbers, M. (author), Aydogan, R. (author), Jonker, C.M. (author), Neerincx, M.A. (author)Human teamwork can be supported by agent technology by providing each human team member with an agent that monitors, supports and advices the human. The agent can, for example, monitor the human's workload, and share that information with (agents of) other team members so that work can be distributed effectively. However, though sharing...conference paper 2014
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Worm, D. (author), Langley, D.J. (author), Becker, J. (author)The aim of this paper is to improve scientific modeling of interdependent socio-technical networks. In these networks the interplay between technical or infrastructural elements on the one hand and social and behavioral aspects on the other hand, plays an important role. Examples include electricity networks, financial networks, residential...conference paper 2014
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Worm, D.T.H. (author), Langley, D.J. (author), Becker, J.M. (author)The objective of this paper is to improve scientific modeling of interdependent socio-technical networks. In these networks the interplay between technical or infrastructural elements on the one hand and social and behavioral aspects on the other hand, is of importance. Examples include electricity networks, financial networks, residential...conference paper 2013
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van Maanen, P.P. (author), van der Vecht, B. (author)The aim of this study is to better understand social influence in online social media. Therefore, we propose a method in which we implement, validate and improve an individual behavior model. The behavior model is based on three fundamental behavioral principles of social influence from the literature: 1) liking, 2) social proof and 3)...conference paper 2013
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Koster, S.E. (author), Langley, D.J. (author)We investigate factors influencing choice behavior in online social networks. We use twitter data from a Dutch television talent show. In study one, we implement a nested conditional logit model with latent classes. We find heterogeneous effects. For two latent classes, cognitive factors most strongly influence choice behavior. For two other...conference paper 2013
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Harbers, M. (author), van den Bosch, K. (author), Meyer, J.J.C. (author)To understand emergent processes in multi-agent-based simulations it is important to study the global processes in a simulation as well as the processes on the agent level. The behavior of individual agents is easier to understand when they are able to explain their own behavior. In this paper, a theoretical framework for explaining agent...conference paper 2011
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Buiel, E. (author), Lubbers, J. (author), van Doesburg, W. (author), Muller, T. (author), TNO Defensie en Veiligheid (author)A tunnel operator monitors and regulates the flow of traffic inside a tunnel. Tunnel operators need to train in a simulator regularly in order to maintain proficiency in handling incident situations. During quiet working hours, the operator has enough time for training. But generally at that time no instructor or colleague operators are present...conference paper 2009
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TNO Defensie en Veiligheid (author), Dean, D. (author), Mistry, B. (author), Spaans, M. (author), Vincent, A. (author), Hossain, A. (author)Motivation - This paper describes an approach for the development of a model which represents complex human factors relationships relating to Combat Identification (Combat ID). Research approach - The human factors relationships were incorporated within an experimental Agent Based Model (ABM), using an integrated approach to analysis and...conference paper 2009
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Dean, D. (author), Vincet, A. (author), Mistry, B. (author), Spaans, M. (author), Petiet, P.J. (author), TNO Defensie en Veiligheid (author)This paper will describe different aspects of human behaviour and characteristics that can be represented by modelling techniques, based on ongoing work within the UK Defence Science and Technology Laboratory (Dstl), the Nederland’s Organisation for Applied Scientific Research (TNO) and the US Naval Postgraduate School (NPS). It will then...conference paper 2008