Systematic derivation of safety factors for the fatigue design of steel bridges

This paper presents a probabilistic framework to derive the safety factors for fatigue of steel and composite steel concrete road bridges. Engineering models are used for the design and the safety factor is derived in such a way that the design meets the target reliability set by international Eurocode and ISO standards, estimated using measured...

Uncertainty quantification of the failure assessment diagram for flawed steel components in BS 7910:2019

The failure assessment line (FAL) describes the interaction between plastic failure and fracture of flawed steel components subjected to tension or bending. This paper quantifies the model uncertainty of the FAL as provided in the internationally used British Standard BS 7910:2019 by comparing the assessment with the actual failure load of 82...

Treatment of modelling uncertainty of NLFEA in fib Model Code 2020

When non-linear finite element analyses are used in design of new or assessment of existing concrete structures, one should account for the modelling uncertainty before conclusions are drawn based on the results. The present article describes the basis for how this topic is treated in the draft of fib Model Code 2020. There are two components of...

Global sensitivity analysis of model uncertainty in aeroelastic wind turbine models

A framework is presented for performing global sensitivity analysis of model parameters associated with the Blade Element Momentum (BEM) models. Sobol indices based on adaptive sparse polynomial expansions are used as a measure of global sensitivities. The sensitivity analysis workflow is developed using the uncertainty quantification toolbox...

Implementation-aware design of image-based control with on-line measurable variable-delay

Image-based control uses image-processing algorithms to acquire sensing information. The sensing delay associated with the image-processing algorithm is typically platform-dependent and time-varying. Modern embedded platforms allow to characterize the sensing delay at design-time obtaining a delay histogram, and at run-time measuring its precise...

Synthesis of robust feedback missile control strategies by using LMI techniques

Robust programming, and more specific LMI techniques, have proven to be an extremely effective tool for the synthesis of missile guidance laws. The advantage of this model-based approach is that a large class of uncertainties can be taken into account and a robust guidance law is obtained. In this paper the class of uncertainties applicable for...

Does more sophisticated modeling reduce model uncertainty? A case study on vibration predictions

In this paper, the reliability of vibration predictions in civil engineering is quantified. Emphasis is laid on the vibration predictions for road- and rail traffic and vibrations from building activities such as (sheet)pile driving. Several kinds of prediction techniques were investigated: expert opinion, very simple empirical models, dedicated...