An Agent-Based Model for Emergent Opponent Behavior

Organized crime, insurgency and terrorist organizations have a large and undermining impact on societies. This highlights the urgency to better understand the complex dynamics of these individuals and organizations in order to timely detect critical social phase transitions that form a risk for society. In this paper we introduce a new multi...

Taxonomy for complexity theory in the context of maternity care

Background The linear focus of ‘normal science’ is unable toadequately take account of the complex interactions that direct health care systems. There is a turn towards complexity theory as a more appropriate framework for understanding system behaviour. However, a comprehensive taxonomy for complexity theory in the context of health care is...

Failure of large transformation projects from the viewpoint of complex adaptive systems: Management principles for dealing with project dynamics

Many large transformation projects do not result in the outcomes desired or envisioned by the stakeholders. This type of project is characterised by dynamics which are both caused by and result of uncertainties and unexpected behaviour. In this paper a complex adaptive system (CAS) view was adopted in order to better understand project dynamics...

METIS: Dependable Cooperative Systems for Public Safety

Much, if not most, information needed to assess a crisis situation originates these days from cooperative sources such as the Internet and social networks. Public safety authorities face the challenge to compile this information of uncertain origin and quality in their situation understanding and response planning. Time matters: the integration...

Adaptive trust and co-operation: An agent-based simulation approach

Inter-firm relations have increasingly been analyzed by means of transaction cost economics (TCE). However, as has been widely acknowledged, TCE does not include dynamics of learning, adaptation or innovation, and it does not include trust. It assumes that efficient outcomes arise, while that may be in doubt, due to complexity and path...