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Kraaijpoel, D.A. (author), Esteves Martins, J.C. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Vogelaar, B.B.S.A. (author), Breunese, J.N. (author)We perform statistical analyses on spatiotemporal patterns in the magnitude distribution of induced earthquakes in the Groningen natural gas field. The seismic catalogue contains 336 earthquakes with (local) magnitudes above , observed in the period between 1 January 1995 and 1 January 2022. An exploratory moving-window analysis of maximum...article 2022
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Candela, T.G.G. (author), Pluymaekers, M.P.D. (author), Ampuero, J.P. (author), Wees, J.D.A.M. (author), Buijze, L. (author), Wassing, B.B.T. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Grobbe, N. (author), Muntendam-Bos, A.G. (author)The induced seismicity in the Groningen gas field, The Netherlands, presents contrasted spatio temporal patterns between the central area and the south west area. Understanding the origin of this contrast requires a thorough assessment of two factors: (1) the stress development on the Groningen faults and (2) the frictional response of the...article 2022
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Wassing, B.B.T. (author), Candela, T.G.G. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Peters, E. (author), Buijze, L. (author), Fokker, P.A. (author), van Wees, J.D.A.M. (author)This paper describes and deploys a workflow to assess the evolution of seismicity associated to injection of cold fluids close to a fault. We employ a coupled numerical thermo-hydro-mechanical simulator to simulate the evolution of pressures, temperatures and stress on the fault. Adopting rate-and-state seismicity theory we assess induced...article 2021
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van Wees, J.D. (author), van der Kuip, M. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Keijser, B. (author), van Westerloo, D. (author), Hanegraaf, M. (author), Pluymaekers, M. (author), Leeuwenburgh, O. (author), Brunner, L. (author), Tutu van Furth, M. (author)Background: On 26 November 2021, the world health organization (WHO) designated the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.529 a variant of concern, named Omicron (WHO, 2021a). As of December 16, Omicron has been detected in 89 countries (WHO, 2021b). The thread posed by Omicron is highly uncertain. Methods and findings: For the analysis of the impact of...article 2021
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Vogelaar, B.B.S.A. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Kraaijpoel, D.A. (author), Pluymaekers, M.P.D. (author), Breunese, J.N. (author), van Driel, W.W. (author)Publieke SDRA 2021 Een Seismische Dreigings- en Risicoanalyse (SDRA) geeft een verwachting van toekomstige seismische grondbewegingen en het resulterende veiligheidsrisico voor de bewoners in het Groningse aardbevingsgebied als gevolg van de gaswinning. Dit rapport beschrijft de publieke SDRA 2021 volgens de door NAM voorgestelde operationele...report 2021
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Osinga, S. (author), Kraaijpoel, D.A. (author), van Bijsterveldt, L.Q. (author), van Driel, W.W. (author)Production from the Groningen gas field induces earthquakes and ground motion at the earth’s surface. The TNO Model Chain is a Probabilistic Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis (PSHRA) tool, specifically developed for the Groningen area to predict personal risk from future induced earthquakes. The tool is based on the NAM Hazard and Risk Assessment...report 2020
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Candela, T.G.G. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Ampuero, J.P. (author), Wassing, B.B.T. (author), Pluymaekers, M.P.D. (author), Fokker, P.A. (author), Wees, J.D.A.M. (author), de Waal, H.A. (author), Muntendam-Bos, A.G. (author)We implement a Coulomb rate‐and‐state approach to explore the nonlinear relation between stressing rate and seismicity rate in the Groningen gas field. Coulomb stress rates are calculated, taking into account the 3‐D structural complexity of the field and including the poroelastic effect of the differential compaction due to fault offsets. The...article 2019
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van Wees, J.D. (author), Pluymaekers, M. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Fokker, P. (author), van Thienen-Visser, K. (author), Orlic, B. (author), Wassing, B. (author), Hegen, D. (author), Candela, T. (author)Building geomechanical models for induced seismicity in complex reservoirs poses a major challenge, in particular if many faults need to be included. We developed a novel way of calculating induced stress changes and associated seismic moment response for structurally complex reservoirs with tens to hundreds of faults. Our specific target was to...article 2019
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van Wees, J.D. (author), Osinga, S. (author), van Thienen-Visser, K. (author), Fokker, P.A. (author)The Groningen gas field in the Netherlands experienced an immediate reduction in seismic events in the year following a massive cut in production. This reduction is inconsistent with existingmodels of seismicity predictions adopting compaction strains as proxy, since reservoir creep would then result in a more gradual reduction of seismic events...article 2018
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ter Heege, J. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Wassing, B. (author), Candela, T. (author), Orlic, B. (author), Buijze, L. (author), Chitu, A. (author)Mitigation of induced seismicity associated with large-scale energy production from subsurface resources requires models beyond the current state of the art. In countries with long histories of conventional gas production, such as the Netherlands, issues are mainly associated with depletion-induced seismicity caused by fault reactivation due to...article 2018
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Fokker, P.A. (author), Osinga, S. (author)Fast models to estimate subsidence resulting from subsurface extraction processes usually employ a nucleus-of-strain solution based on a center of compression. The solution for such a strain nucleus is then employed as an influence function. This approach is based on the superposition principle that applies for linear elasticity of the...conference paper 2018
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TerHeege, J.H. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Carpentier, S. (author)The properties of faults and fractures under dynamic reservoir conditions are critical in determining flow and performance of geothermal doublets in fractured reservoirs. The complexity of faults obtained from geological and seismic characterization is usually not honored in flow models for fractured reservoirs. Fault zone architectures may...conference paper 2018
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- Wassing, B.B.T. (author), Buijze, L. (author), Ter Heege, J.H. (author), Orlic, B. (author), Osinga, S. (author) conference paper 2017
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Orlic, B. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Neele, F. (author), Al-Mayyan, H. (author), Kamal, D. (author)Large-scale CO2 injection in saline aquifers will cause pressure build-up in brine far beyond the extent of CO2 plume. In this paper, we evaluate the geomechanical responses of large-scale CO2 storage in the multilayer aquifer of the Kra Al-Maru Trend in Kuwait. The site was selected after screening the whole territory of Kuwait, identifying and...conference paper 2017
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Chitu, A.G. (author), Leeuwenburgh, O. (author), Candela, T.G.G. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Kraaijpoel, D.A. (author), Wassing, B.B.T. (author)Pore pressure changes caused by the production of gas from reservoir rocks result in reservoir compaction, stress changes on faults, potential fault reactivation and related seismic activity. This seismic activity is expected to be affected by the amount of pressure change, the spatial distribution of the pressure changes relative to the...other 2017
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Osinga, S. (author), Wassing, B.B.T. (author), Pizzocolo, F. (author), Fokker, P.A. (author), Eijs, R.M.H.E van (author), van den Bogert, P.A.J. (author)Pressure maintenance by injection of nitrogen into a reservoir is one of the potential options to mitigate induced seismicity during gas production. It is expected that seismicity and the seismic hazard can be reduced by decreasing the stress changes and compaction associated with the declining pore pressure in the reservoir rocks. However,...conference paper 2017
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Wees, J.D.A.M. (author), Fokker, P.A. (author), van Thienen-Visser, K. (author), Wassing, B.B.T. (author), Osinga, S. (author), Orlic, B. (author), Ghouri, S.A. (author), Buijze, L. (author), Pluymaekers, M.P.D. (author)In the Netherlands, over 190 gas fields of varying size have been exploited, and 15% of these have shown seismicity. The prime cause for seismicity due to gas depletion is stress changes caused by pressure depletion and by differential compaction. The observed onset of induced seismicity due to gas depletion in the Netherlands occurs after a...article 2017
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ter Heege, J.H. (author), Pizzocolo, F. (author), Osinga, S. (author), van der Veer, E.F. (author)Faults and fractures in hydrocarbon reservoirs are key to some major production issues including (1) varying productivity of different well sections due to intersection of preferential flow paths with the wellbore, (2) varying hydrocarbon column heights in different reservoir compartments due to differences in the sealing capacity of faults, and...conference paper 2016
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Osinga, S. (author), Pizzocolo, F. (author), van der Veer, E.F. (author), ter Heege, J.H. (author)Fractured rocks play an important role in many types of petroleum and geo-energy operations. From fractured limestone reservoirs to unconventionals, understanding the geomechanical behaviour and the dynamically coupled (dual) permeability system is paramount for optimal development of these systems. Traditionally, incorporating fracture systems...conference paper 2016