Title
Impact of disruptive innovations on road transport strategy
Author
Chen, T.M.
Publication year
2018
Abstract
Scenario describing the future include many disruptive innovations, which implies that traditional models calibrated on historical data are not always applicable for quantification of these scenarios. This paper describes disruptive changes to be expected which will influence the reliability of forecasting approaches used for road transport assessments and which changes to these approaches can be recommended. Also adaptions to the forecasting framework are proposed and the key modelling issues to be improved are indicated. Some aspects will remain hard to predict and in these cases additional pro-active mitigation actions are recommended, such as flexibilization of the infrastructure and location policy for economic activities.
Subject
Vision
Innovations
Logistics
Multi-modal
Road transport
To reference this document use:
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:7679b025-9a75-48a8-95de-6c825f2d3c8c
TNO identifier
842945
Source
HVTT15 15th Symposium on Heavy Vehicle Transport Technology, Rotterdam 2-5 okotber 2018
Document type
conference paper