Print Email Facebook Twitter Real-time travel time prediction framework for departure time and route advice Title Real-time travel time prediction framework for departure time and route advice Author Calvert, S.C. Snelder, M. Bakri, T. Heijligers, B. Knoop, V.L. Publication year 2015 Abstract Heavily used urban networks remain a challenge for travel time prediction because traffic flow is rarely homogeneous and is also subject to a wide variety of disturbances. Various models, some of which use traffic flow theory and some of which are data driven, have been developed to predict traffic flow and travel times. Many of these perform well under set conditions. However, few perform well under all or even most urban traffic conditions. As part of the Amsterdam Practical Trial, a comprehensive field operation test for traffic management, a real-time travel time prediction framework, was developed to make use of an ensemble of traffic modeling techniques to predict travel times with great accuracy for arterial roads as well as urban roads. The various models in the framework include both traffic theoretical models and data-driven approaches, making use of some of the largest real-time traffic data sets currently available to limit errors to less than 20% for any time of day or week. The impending implementation of the framework sets it at the forefront of practical real-time implementation of urban travel time prediction. Copyright © 2015 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved. Subject Urban Mobility & EnvironmentSMb - Smart MobilityELSS - Earth, Life and Social SciencesMobility & LogisticsTrafficUrbanisationForecastingReal time controlTime varying control systemsTraffic controlTravel timeData-driven approachField operationReal time travelReal-time implementationsReal-time traffic datumTraffic flow theoryTraffic managementTravel time predictionStreet traffic control To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e4d0b818-9ae0-4fef-80d1-63275151c2de DOI https://doi.org/10.3141/2490-07 TNO identifier 546169 Publisher National Research Council ISSN 0361-1981 Source Transportation Research Record, 2490 Document type article Files To receive the publication files, please send an e-mail request to TNO Library.