Print Email Facebook Twitter Using 18th century storm-surge data from the Dutch Coast to improve the confidence in flood-risk estimates Title Using 18th century storm-surge data from the Dutch Coast to improve the confidence in flood-risk estimates Author Baart, F. Bakker, M.A.J. van Dongeren, A. den Heijer, C. van Heteren, S. Smit, M.W.J. van Koningsveld, M. Pool, A. Publication year 2011 Abstract For the design of cost-effective coastal defence a precise estimate is needed of the 1/10 000 per year storm surge. A more precise estimate requires more observations. Therefore, the three greatest storm surges that hit the northern part of the Holland Coast in the 18th century are reconstructed. The reconstructions are based on paintings, drawings, written records and shell deposits that have recently appeared. The storm-surge levels of these storms have been estimated using numerical modelling of the coastal processes. Here we show how these reconstructions can be used in combination with extreme value statistics to give a more confident estimate of low probability events. © Author(s) 2011. Subject Earth & EnvironmentGM - GeomodellingEELS - Earth, Environmental and Life SciencesGeosciencescoastal protectioneighteenth centuryfloodnumerical modelprobabilityreconstructionrisk assessmentstorm surgeNetherlands To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:bb3bc267-d796-499e-9f6f-54f38d6d85f1 TNO identifier 442991 ISSN 1561-8633 Source Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 11 (10), 2791-2801 Document type article Files To receive the publication files, please send an e-mail request to TNO Library.